Arizona Diamondbacks x San Diego Padres

Arizona's Mitch Bratt has walked over six per nine innings, and a righty-heavy San Diego order is built to punish free passes. With the Padres' team total set at 4.5, the value leans heavily toward the Over.

Casey Mize makes his San Diego debut carrying a mix of elite underlying metrics and glaring physical red flags. Yet the real story in the desert is Mitch Bratt’s inability to find the strike zone against a loaded lineup.