Palpites para Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales — Julia Grabher

This final turns on who gets to play on her terms first. Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales has won all four matches in Tolentino without dropping a set; the quarterfinal against Rebeka Masarova was the sharper test, while the semifinal was much more comfortable. Maristany to win is the bet: her early pressure could keep Julia Grabher from settling into the heavy baseline rallies that suit her.

Grabher has shown real fight, recovering from slow starts to win three deciding sets before taking the first set against Oksana Selekhmeteva and pulling away. But the repeated service trouble and comebacks matter here. At 1.75, the price still looks generous to Maristany because it gives too little weight to the contrast in how they have controlled matches this week.

There are reasons not to get carried away: Grabher has the stronger career record, beat the higher-ranked player in the semifinal, and Maristany is playing her third straight week on clay. Those are meaningful cautions, but they temper the pick rather than overturn it.